by Robert Bradford | Feb 28, 2024 | Making predictions, Strategic Planning
In my last two posts, I discussed two of the three things that people get wrong in strategic planning: information and buy-in. Today, I’ll be discussing the third thing: sources and estimates. Data Sources As I mentioned in a previous post, people tend to want to...
by Robert Bradford | Dec 30, 2022 | Making predictions, Strategic Planning
New technologies follow a fairly well-understood “curve”. We can think of these curves in terms of profitability, but this is oversimplifying things. Much of the thinking about technology curves in the business world comes from the work of Nikolai Kondratiev in the...
by Robert Bradford | Aug 9, 2020 | Making predictions, Strategic Thinking
In the first two articles about predicting the future, we looked at types of curves and leading indicators. These tools are useful ways to predict trends, but tends have limits, too. Today, we will look at the types of things that disrupt predictions made with the...
